Charlie Coyle vs Connor McDavid

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Charlie Coyle holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Coyle 50.5% vs McDavid 48.1% (+2.6%)
H2H factor McDavid leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone McDavid 82.1%
Defensive zone Coyle 72.1%
Neutral zone McDavid 53.9%
Result Connor McDavid favored at 68.2%
31.8%
68.2%
Coyle McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 7 (12 meetings)
5
7
Coyle McDavid
Last 10: Coyle 5-5 McDavid

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
6
Coyle McDavid
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle McDavid
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
1
Coyle McDavid
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Coyle
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (853)
47.7% (686)
+4.6%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
49.3% (75)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (191)
48.9% (45)
-4.4%
On power play, McDavid has a +4.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Coyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Coyle shoots right. McDavid is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Coyle
McDavid
Home
49.0% (567)
50.0% (412)
Away
52.0% (540)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Coyle
McDavid
P1
49.5%
48.0%
P2
49.4%
48.5%
P3
52.6%
47.1%
OT
46.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
50.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%
51.5%
50.5%
McDavid
52.0%
51.5%
47.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Nov 13, 2025 3 18:50 Offensive Connor McDavid
Nov 13, 2025 3 01:30 Offensive Connor McDavid
Nov 13, 2025 3 00:29 Neutral Charlie Coyle
Nov 13, 2025 2 03:27 Offensive Charlie Coyle
Nov 13, 2025 2 00:00 Neutral Connor McDavid
Nov 13, 2025 1 17:01 Offensive Connor McDavid
Nov 13, 2025 1 15:06 Neutral Charlie Coyle
Nov 13, 2025 1 00:07 Offensive Connor McDavid
Nov 13, 2025 1 00:00 Neutral Charlie Coyle
Nov 10, 2025 2 14:06 Defensive Charlie Coyle
Nov 10, 2025 1 14:45 Offensive Connor McDavid
Nov 10, 2025 1 14:26 Offensive Connor McDavid