Charlie Coyle vs Connor McDavid
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs McDavid 47.8% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 23-22 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 62.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 64.1%
Neutral zone
Coyle 55.0%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Coyle
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
22
(45 meetings)
23
22
Coyle
McDavid
Last 10: Coyle 5-5 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
5
11
Coyle
McDavid
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
5
3
Coyle
McDavid
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
13
8
Coyle
McDavid
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,898)
47.7% (8,394)
+1.7%
Power Play
50.0% (794)
52.1% (374)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,100)
43.8% (281)
-0.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,015).
Coyle shoots right. McDavid is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,120).
Home / Away
Coyle
McDavid
Home
49.8% (4,865)
49.3% (4,582)
Away
47.9% (4,927)
46.2% (4,467)
By Period
Coyle
McDavid
P1
49.5%
46.5%
P2
48.3%
48.7%
P3
48.8%
48.3%
OT
49.0%
42.2%
Final 5 min
48.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 01:30 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:29 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 03:27 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 17:01 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 15:06 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:07 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 14:06 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 14:45 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 14:26 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 09:17 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 09:13 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 12:41 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |