Charlie Coyle vs Connor McMichael
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs McMichael 43.9% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 67.9%
Defensive zone
McMichael 53.1%
Neutral zone
McMichael 60.0%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Coyle
McMichael
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Coyle
McMichael
Last 5: Coyle 2-3 McMichael
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
McMichael
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
McMichael
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
0
2
Coyle
McMichael
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (853)
42.9% (408)
+9.4%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
49.1% (55)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (191)
39.0% (105)
+5.5%
On even strength, Coyle has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Coyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Coyle shoots right. McMichael is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Coyle
McMichael
Home
49.0% (567)
43.0% (298)
Away
52.0% (540)
42.6% (270)
By Period
Coyle
McMichael
P1
49.5%
46.6%
P2
49.4%
40.8%
P3
52.6%
41.8%
Final 5 min
49.1%
43.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 15:54 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 05:50 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 3 | 15:39 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 13:50 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |