Charlie Coyle vs Connor McMichael

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Charlie Coyle holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Coyle 48.8% vs McMichael 43.3% (+5.9%)
H2H factor McMichael leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone McMichael 58.4%
Defensive zone McMichael 54.1%
Neutral zone McMichael 54.4%
Result Connor McMichael favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Coyle McMichael
Head-to-Head Record
8 - 9 (17 meetings)
8
9
Coyle McMichael
Last 10: Coyle 5-5 McMichael

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
3
Coyle McMichael
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
1
Coyle McMichael
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
3
5
Coyle McMichael
8 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Coyle
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,898)
43.3% (1,583)
+6.1%
Power Play
50.0% (794)
46.0% (139)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,100)
37.5% (176)
+6.0%
On even strength, Coyle has a +6.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,015).
Coyle shoots right. McMichael is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (637).
Home / Away
Coyle
McMichael
Home
49.8% (4,865)
42.6% (976)
Away
47.9% (4,927)
43.3% (922)
By Period
Coyle
McMichael
P1
49.5%
43.3%
P2
48.3%
43.1%
P3
48.8%
42.1%
OT
49.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
42.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%
51.5%
48.8%
McMichael
38.0%
45.0%
42.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 7, 2025 3 15:54 Offensive Connor McMichael
Dec 7, 2025 3 10:31 Offensive Charlie Coyle
Nov 24, 2025 3 05:50 Neutral Connor McMichael
Oct 24, 2025 3 15:39 Neutral Connor McMichael
Oct 24, 2025 2 13:50 Defensive Charlie Coyle
Mar 30, 2024 3 08:49 Defensive Connor McMichael
Mar 30, 2024 2 00:00 Neutral Charlie Coyle
Mar 30, 2024 1 17:48 Offensive Connor McMichael
Mar 30, 2024 1 07:23 Defensive Charlie Coyle
Feb 10, 2024 2 09:43 Defensive Charlie Coyle
Feb 10, 2024 2 00:00 Neutral Connor McMichael
Feb 10, 2024 1 18:13 Offensive Connor McMichael
Apr 10, 2022 2 18:14 Neutral Connor McMichael
Apr 10, 2022 2 14:50 Neutral Charlie Coyle
Apr 10, 2022 2 04:18 Neutral Charlie Coyle
Apr 10, 2022 2 04:11 Neutral Connor McMichael
Jan 20, 2022 2 10:17 Defensive Charlie Coyle