Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 47.1% vs Lazar 51.0% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 77.1%
Defensive zone
Lazar 62.8%
Neutral zone
Coyle 55.9%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Coyle
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Coyle
Lazar
Last 5: Coyle 2-3 Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
2
Coyle
Lazar
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Lazar
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (562)
53.8% (286)
-7.2%
Power Play
50.7% (69)
33.3% (3)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (68)
41.7% (72)
+0.9%
On power play, Coyle has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Coyle is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (193).
Coyle shoots right. Lazar is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Coyle
Lazar
Home
44.3% (332)
53.1% (211)
Away
48.8% (367)
48.7% (150)
By Period
Coyle
Lazar
P1
47.5%
45.3%
P2
47.5%
52.8%
P3
45.7%
54.7%
OT
35.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
46.6%
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2019 | 3 | 15:19 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 05:58 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 11:23 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |