Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.7% vs 48.8%). Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Lazar 48.8% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Lazar leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 64.1%
Defensive zone
Lazar 58.6%
Neutral zone
Coyle 50.7%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Coyle
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Coyle
Lazar
Last 10: Coyle 5-5 Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Lazar
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
3
Coyle
Lazar
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Coyle
Lazar
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,657)
49.8% (2,623)
-0.5%
Power Play
50.0% (778)
52.3% (65)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,055)
41.7% (410)
+2.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,699).
Coyle shoots right. Lazar is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (854).
Home / Away
Coyle
Lazar
Home
49.7% (4,692)
50.0% (1,541)
Away
47.9% (4,798)
47.6% (1,557)
By Period
Coyle
Lazar
P1
49.5%
48.4%
P2
48.2%
48.8%
P3
48.6%
49.1%
OT
49.3%
56.5%
Final 5 min
48.1%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.7%
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 16:58 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 18:47 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 14:12 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 16:33 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 08:07 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 01:54 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 01:35 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 01:29 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 3 | 15:19 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 05:58 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 11:23 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |