Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Lazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Lazar 51.0% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 53.0%
Defensive zone
Coyle 54.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 59.2%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Coyle
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Coyle
Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
0
1
Coyle
Lazar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
51.4% (356)
-1.9%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
62.5% (8)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
47.2% (36)
-3.8%
On power play, Lazar has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Coyle is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Coyle shoots right. Lazar is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Coyle
Lazar
Home
47.4% (409)
49.7% (163)
Away
50.0% (360)
52.3% (237)
By Period
Coyle
Lazar
P1
50.8%
46.9%
P2
46.0%
53.3%
P3
48.4%
53.3%
Final 5 min
46.7%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.6%
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 16:58 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |