Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Evans 52.2% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 22-16 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 83.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 54.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 62.8%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Coyle
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
22
(38 meetings)
16
22
Coyle
Evans
Last 10: Coyle 6-4 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
5
7
Coyle
Evans
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
5
6
Coyle
Evans
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
6
9
Coyle
Evans
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,898)
53.7% (3,740)
-4.3%
Power Play
50.0% (794)
60.6% (71)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,100)
47.1% (1,228)
-3.6%
On power play, Evans has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,777).
Coyle shoots right. Evans is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,301).
Home / Away
Coyle
Evans
Home
49.8% (4,865)
53.3% (2,621)
Away
47.9% (4,927)
51.0% (2,418)
By Period
Coyle
Evans
P1
49.5%
54.0%
P2
48.3%
50.9%
P3
48.8%
52.0%
OT
49.0%
46.5%
Final 5 min
48.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 19:45 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 15:45 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 12:17 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 17, 2025 | OT | 03:11 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 19:33 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 07:13 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 02:55 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 19:43 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 08:51 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 03:59 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 07:40 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 07:19 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 02:07 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 16:10 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |