Scouting Report
Jake Guentzel holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 49.2% vs Guentzel 50.4% (-2.9%)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 57.4%
Defensive zone
Coyle 76.5%
Neutral zone
Coyle 56.0%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Coyle
Guentzel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (921)
45.0% (20)
+5.6%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
75.0% (4)
-24.0%
Penalty Kill
30.1% (83)
100.0% (1)
-69.9%
On penalty kill, Guentzel has a +69.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Coyle is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (759).
Coyle shoots right. Guentzel is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (5).
Home / Away
Coyle
Guentzel
Home
51.8% (517)
56.3% (16)
Away
46.7% (583)
44.4% (9)
By Period
Coyle
Guentzel
P1
49.2%
20.0%
P2
52.8%
57.1%
P3
44.8%
80.0%
OT
54.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.1%
Guentzel
54.0%▲
47.0%
52.0%