Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Veleno 49.2% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 72.4%
Defensive zone
Veleno 58.1%
Neutral zone
Veleno 66.5%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Coyle
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Coyle
Veleno
Last 7: Coyle 2-5 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
3
Coyle
Veleno
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
Veleno
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
48.4% (531)
+4.6%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
56.3% (64)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
44.4% (27)
-0.8%
On even strength, Coyle has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Coyle shoots right. Veleno is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Home / Away
Coyle
Veleno
Home
54.5% (719)
48.8% (289)
Away
48.8% (758)
49.2% (333)
By Period
Coyle
Veleno
P1
51.1%
46.1%
P2
50.0%
50.9%
P3
53.3%
49.7%
OT
57.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.8%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
51.6%
Veleno
50.0%▬
50.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 17:45 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 13:06 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 12:37 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:28 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 01:24 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |