Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Veleno 47.2% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Veleno leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Veleno 58.9%
Defensive zone
Veleno 59.9%
Neutral zone
Veleno 59.1%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Coyle
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
11
(18 meetings)
7
11
Coyle
Veleno
Last 10: Coyle 3-7 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
6
Coyle
Veleno
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
4
5
Coyle
Veleno
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Veleno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,657)
47.4% (2,301)
+1.9%
Power Play
50.0% (778)
51.0% (98)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,055)
34.1% (82)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Coyle is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,791).
Coyle shoots right. Veleno is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (873).
Home / Away
Coyle
Veleno
Home
49.7% (4,692)
45.3% (1,136)
Away
47.9% (4,798)
48.6% (1,345)
By Period
Coyle
Veleno
P1
49.5%
47.8%
P2
48.2%
47.5%
P3
48.6%
46.1%
OT
49.3%
35.7%
Final 5 min
48.1%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.7%
Veleno
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 15:21 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 08:17 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 16:55 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 1 | 03:02 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 1 | 02:48 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 17:45 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 13:06 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 12:37 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:28 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 01:24 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 05:36 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 02:05 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 05:00 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 17:55 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 04:57 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |