Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.2% vs Staal 55.1% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 61.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 64.8%
Neutral zone
Coyle 59.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Coyle
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Coyle
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
4
Coyle
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (612)
57.2% (740)
-5.6%
Power Play
42.6% (47)
67.0% (88)
-24.4%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (146)
43.9% (187)
+2.7%
On power play, Staal has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Coyle is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (609).
Coyle shoots right. Staal is 64.3% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Coyle
Staal
Home
47.5% (394)
55.4% (518)
Away
52.8% (411)
55.7% (497)
By Period
Coyle
Staal
P1
49.6%
53.6%
P2
48.9%
56.6%
P3
52.0%
55.7%
OT
50.0%
65.2%
Final 5 min
45.8%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
50.2%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 13:18 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 14:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:28 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |