Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 29 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Staal 55.3% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 43-28 in 71 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 82.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 89.3%
Neutral zone
Coyle 79.2%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 84.5%
84.5%
15.5%
Coyle
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
43
(71 meetings)
28
43
Coyle
Staal
Last 10: Coyle 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
12
13
Coyle
Staal
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
9
20
Coyle
Staal
29 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
7
10
Coyle
Staal
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,898)
55.9% (14,654)
-6.5%
Power Play
50.0% (794)
62.7% (1,762)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,100)
47.9% (2,907)
-4.4%
On power play, Staal has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,015).
Coyle shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,583).
Home / Away
Coyle
Staal
Home
49.8% (4,865)
56.4% (9,699)
Away
47.9% (4,927)
54.3% (9,689)
By Period
Coyle
Staal
P1
49.5%
55.2%
P2
48.3%
55.9%
P3
48.8%
54.8%
OT
49.0%
56.2%
Final 5 min
48.5%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 12:50 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 02:17 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 13:18 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 14:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:28 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 09:03 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 02:47 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 15:25 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 17:20 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 03:08 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 19:45 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 19:37 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 14:55 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 06:01 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |