Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 27 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Staal 55.3% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 43-26 in 69 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 81.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 90.3%
Neutral zone
Coyle 77.1%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 84.0%
84.0%
16.0%
Coyle
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
43
(69 meetings)
26
43
Coyle
Staal
Last 10: Coyle 2-8 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
12
13
Coyle
Staal
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
7
20
Coyle
Staal
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
7
10
Coyle
Staal
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,657)
56.0% (14,405)
-6.7%
Power Play
50.0% (778)
62.6% (1,691)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,055)
48.1% (2,841)
-4.3%
On power play, Staal has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Coyle is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,791).
Coyle shoots right. Staal is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,477).
Home / Away
Coyle
Staal
Home
49.7% (4,692)
56.4% (9,518)
Away
47.9% (4,798)
54.4% (9,484)
By Period
Coyle
Staal
P1
49.5%
55.1%
P2
48.2%
56.0%
P3
48.6%
55.0%
OT
49.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
48.1%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.7%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 13:18 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 14:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:28 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 09:03 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 02:47 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 15:25 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 17:20 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 03:08 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 19:45 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 19:37 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 14:55 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 06:01 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 04:56 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 19:58 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |