Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Eller 55.0% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 56.4%
Defensive zone
Coyle 52.4%
Neutral zone
Coyle 54.6%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Coyle
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Coyle
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Coyle
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (853)
56.0% (459)
-3.7%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
77.8% (9)
-33.4%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (191)
51.9% (54)
-7.4%
On power play, Eller has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Coyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Coyle shoots right. Eller is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Coyle
Eller
Home
49.0% (567)
52.6% (215)
Away
52.0% (540)
58.3% (307)
By Period
Coyle
Eller
P1
49.5%
54.1%
P2
49.4%
57.6%
P3
52.6%
56.2%
Final 5 min
49.1%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 12:58 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 19:07 | Defensive | Lars Eller |