Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Eller 50.5% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 37-28 in 65 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 59.4%
Defensive zone
Coyle 53.4%
Neutral zone
Coyle 56.7%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Coyle
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
37
(65 meetings)
28
37
Coyle
Eller
Last 10: Coyle 3-7 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
16
13
Coyle
Eller
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
16
Coyle
Eller
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
10
8
Coyle
Eller
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,898)
51.1% (10,321)
-1.7%
Power Play
50.0% (794)
52.8% (621)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,100)
46.6% (1,759)
-3.1%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,015).
Coyle shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,587).
Home / Away
Coyle
Eller
Home
49.8% (4,865)
51.4% (6,122)
Away
47.9% (4,927)
49.7% (6,607)
By Period
Coyle
Eller
P1
49.5%
51.2%
P2
48.3%
50.1%
P3
48.8%
50.2%
OT
49.0%
56.7%
Final 5 min
48.5%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 12:58 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 19:07 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 19:52 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 09:23 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 07:17 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 01:02 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 05:46 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:28 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 02:37 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 15:08 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 10:25 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 03:25 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 05:20 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 15:43 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 12:43 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |