Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Couture 47.6% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 56.5%
Defensive zone
Couture 55.8%
Neutral zone
Couture 55.0%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Coyle
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Coyle
Couture
Last 8: Coyle 4-4 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
2
Coyle
Couture
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
Couture
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Couture
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
49.2% (1,083)
+3.5%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
56.7% (60)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
35.4% (206)
+12.7%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Coyle is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Coyle shoots right. Couture is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Coyle
Couture
Home
53.3% (512)
49.6% (713)
Away
51.9% (507)
45.0% (636)
By Period
Coyle
Couture
P1
53.8%
47.2%
P2
47.8%
45.0%
P3
56.7%
50.0%
OT
38.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 16:31 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 12:45 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 04:20 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 04:08 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 19:29 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 10:27 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 11:40 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | Logan Couture |