Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.3%). Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Couture 48.3% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 15-12 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 52.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 51.4%
Neutral zone
Coyle 55.0%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Coyle
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
12
(27 meetings)
15
12
Coyle
Couture
Last 10: Coyle 5-5 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
2
4
Coyle
Couture
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
6
7
Coyle
Couture
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
7
1
Coyle
Couture
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,898)
48.8% (8,919)
+0.6%
Power Play
50.0% (794)
54.6% (624)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,100)
39.8% (992)
+3.7%
On power play, Couture has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,015).
Coyle shoots right. Couture is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,626).
Home / Away
Coyle
Couture
Home
49.8% (4,865)
49.4% (5,418)
Away
47.9% (4,927)
47.1% (5,135)
By Period
Coyle
Couture
P1
49.5%
47.9%
P2
48.3%
47.9%
P3
48.8%
49.2%
OT
49.0%
48.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 16:31 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 12:45 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 04:20 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 04:08 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 19:29 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 10:27 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 11:40 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 2 | 19:21 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 2 | 18:59 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 09:23 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 1 | 10:25 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 2 | 07:31 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 1 | 03:07 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 08:08 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 2 | 13:21 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 06:19 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 16:11 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Logan Couture |