Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.2% vs Boldy 48.4% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boldy 69.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 89.9%
Neutral zone
Coyle 63.9%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Coyle
Boldy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Coyle
Boldy
Last 5: Coyle 4-1 Boldy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Boldy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
0
Coyle
Boldy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Boldy
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (612)
56.0% (50)
-4.4%
Power Play
42.6% (47)
36.1% (36)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (146)
25.0% (4)
+21.6%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boldy shoots left. Coyle is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (609).
Coyle shoots right. Boldy is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Coyle
Boldy
Home
47.5% (394)
45.5% (55)
Away
52.8% (411)
48.6% (35)
By Period
Coyle
Boldy
P1
49.6%
42.5%
P2
48.9%
42.3%
P3
52.0%
56.5%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
50.2%
Boldy
52.0%▲
45.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:16 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 07:22 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 09:05 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |