Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Boldy 48.1% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boldy 72.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 89.5%
Neutral zone
Coyle 64.1%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Coyle
Boldy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Coyle
Boldy
Last 5: Coyle 4-1 Boldy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Boldy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
0
Coyle
Boldy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Boldy
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (853)
51.6% (64)
+0.7%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
41.3% (46)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (191)
25.0% (4)
+19.5%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boldy shoots left. Coyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Coyle shoots right. Boldy is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (46).
Home / Away
Coyle
Boldy
Home
49.0% (567)
46.3% (67)
Away
52.0% (540)
46.8% (47)
By Period
Coyle
Boldy
P1
49.5%
37.7%
P2
49.4%
50.0%
P3
52.6%
57.7%
OT
46.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Boldy
52.0%▲
45.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:16 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 07:22 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 09:05 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |