Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Boldy 48.0% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boldy 73.2%
Defensive zone
Coyle 90.1%
Neutral zone
Coyle 53.1%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Coyle
Boldy
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Coyle
Boldy
Last 8: Coyle 6-2 Boldy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boldy
1
2
Coyle
Boldy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
5
0
Coyle
Boldy
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Boldy
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,898)
47.6% (336)
+1.8%
Power Play
50.0% (794)
48.2% (141)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,100)
40.0% (15)
+3.5%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boldy shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,015).
Coyle shoots right. Boldy is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Coyle
Boldy
Home
49.8% (4,865)
46.9% (277)
Away
47.9% (4,927)
48.4% (215)
By Period
Coyle
Boldy
P1
49.5%
41.9%
P2
48.3%
51.6%
P3
48.8%
51.5%
OT
49.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Boldy
52.0%▲
45.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:16 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 07:22 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 09:05 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 10:04 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 03:32 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 11:57 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |