Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 50.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Domi 50.6% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 65.4%
Defensive zone
Coyle 67.5%
Neutral zone
Coyle 50.4%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Coyle
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Coyle
Domi
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Domi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Domi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (853)
49.8% (297)
+2.5%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
60.0% (30)
-15.6%
On power play, Domi has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Coyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Coyle shoots right. Domi is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Coyle
Domi
Home
49.0% (567)
51.1% (184)
Away
52.0% (540)
50.3% (143)
By Period
Coyle
Domi
P1
49.5%
45.9%
P2
49.4%
51.8%
P3
52.6%
55.1%
OT
46.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 03:43 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 3 | 07:50 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:54 | Defensive | Max Domi |