Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.7% vs 48.7%). Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Domi 48.8% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 18-9 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 57.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 71.1%
Neutral zone
Coyle 58.1%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Coyle
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
9
(27 meetings)
18
9
Coyle
Domi
Last 10: Coyle 6-4 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
7
4
Coyle
Domi
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
6
4
Coyle
Domi
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
5
1
Coyle
Domi
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,657)
48.2% (4,232)
+1.1%
Power Play
50.0% (778)
52.7% (622)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,055)
48.8% (41)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Coyle is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,791).
Coyle shoots right. Domi is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,608).
Home / Away
Coyle
Domi
Home
49.7% (4,692)
49.7% (2,572)
Away
47.9% (4,798)
47.7% (2,323)
By Period
Coyle
Domi
P1
49.5%
48.8%
P2
48.2%
48.0%
P3
48.6%
49.8%
OT
49.3%
42.6%
Final 5 min
48.1%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.7%
Domi
40.0%▼
50.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 03:43 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 3 | 07:50 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:54 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 3 | 14:24 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 2 | 01:20 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 06:50 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 13:46 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 16:23 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 14:58 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 09:26 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 09:23 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 04:53 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 1 | 09:38 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 06:55 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 17:16 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 3 | 05:32 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 3 | 05:24 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |