Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Frost 50.5% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 28-25 in 53 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 70.1%
Defensive zone
Coyle 70.7%
Neutral zone
Coyle 50.7%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Coyle
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
25
(53 meetings)
28
25
Coyle
Frost
Last 10: Coyle 7-3 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
5
12
Coyle
Frost
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
18
5
Coyle
Frost
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
5
8
Coyle
Frost
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,898)
49.6% (3,642)
-0.2%
Power Play
50.0% (794)
55.5% (631)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,100)
55.0% (40)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,015).
Coyle shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,481).
Home / Away
Coyle
Frost
Home
49.8% (4,865)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
47.9% (4,927)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Coyle
Frost
P1
49.5%
51.1%
P2
48.3%
51.3%
P3
48.8%
48.7%
OT
49.0%
64.9%
Final 5 min
48.5%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Frost
68.0%▲
62.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 16:42 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 11:50 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 08:36 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 08:59 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:40 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:27 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 31, 2025 | 3 | 08:54 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 13:55 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 10:16 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 07:09 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 17:46 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 10:24 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 18:45 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 08:38 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 19:20 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 14:00 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |