Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 49.2% vs Dowd 53.3% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 78.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 87.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 58.7%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Coyle
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Coyle
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (921)
55.4% (771)
-4.8%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
57.1% (7)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
30.1% (83)
45.5% (165)
-15.4%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Coyle is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Coyle shoots right. Dowd is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Coyle
Dowd
Home
51.8% (517)
58.2% (462)
Away
46.7% (583)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Coyle
Dowd
P1
49.2%
55.6%
P2
52.8%
50.5%
P3
44.8%
53.9%
OT
54.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.1%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 10:17 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |