Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.0%). Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 20-17 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 51.5%
Defensive zone
Coyle 50.8%
Neutral zone
Coyle 52.8%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Coyle
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
17
(37 meetings)
20
17
Coyle
Bjugstad
Last 10: Coyle 6-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
5
3
Coyle
Bjugstad
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
6
5
Coyle
Bjugstad
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
9
9
Coyle
Bjugstad
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,898)
48.6% (6,646)
+0.8%
Power Play
50.0% (794)
55.2% (829)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,100)
44.3% (614)
-0.8%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,777).
Coyle shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,334).
Home / Away
Coyle
Bjugstad
Home
49.8% (4,865)
49.8% (4,023)
Away
47.9% (4,927)
48.1% (4,066)
By Period
Coyle
Bjugstad
P1
49.5%
48.9%
P2
48.3%
49.1%
P3
48.8%
48.5%
OT
49.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
48.5%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 02:29 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 12:41 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 04:20 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 09:02 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:32 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 08:38 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 02:53 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 09:12 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 06:38 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 15:33 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 01:20 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 15:07 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 02:58 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |