Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.2% vs Schmaltz 47.1% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Coyle
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Coyle
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Schmaltz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Coyle
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (612)
46.5% (484)
+5.1%
Power Play
42.6% (47)
47.5% (99)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (146)
46.7% (15)
-0.1%
On even strength, Coyle has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Coyle is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Coyle shoots right. Schmaltz is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Coyle
Schmaltz
Home
47.5% (394)
45.3% (298)
Away
52.8% (411)
48.0% (300)
By Period
Coyle
Schmaltz
P1
49.6%
40.4%
P2
48.9%
46.8%
P3
52.0%
53.4%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
41.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
50.2%
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 03:47 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 08:58 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 03:22 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |