Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Schmaltz 42.6% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 16-15 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 74.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 80.2%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 56.1%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Coyle
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
16
(31 meetings)
15
16
Coyle
Schmaltz
Last 10: Coyle 3-7 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
4
Coyle
Schmaltz
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
9
4
Coyle
Schmaltz
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
5
8
Coyle
Schmaltz
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,898)
41.3% (3,431)
+8.1%
Power Play
50.0% (794)
47.3% (655)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,100)
47.4% (135)
-3.9%
On even strength, Coyle has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,777).
Coyle shoots right. Schmaltz is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,172).
Home / Away
Coyle
Schmaltz
Home
49.8% (4,865)
42.8% (2,114)
Away
47.9% (4,927)
42.0% (2,107)
By Period
Coyle
Schmaltz
P1
49.5%
41.3%
P2
48.3%
42.8%
P3
48.8%
43.1%
OT
49.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
48.5%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 10:57 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 03:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 08:21 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 15:08 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 03:47 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 08:58 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 03:22 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 19, 2024 | OT | 00:42 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 18:59 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 07:18 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 03:20 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:50 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |