Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Hischier 55.4% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 87.2%
Defensive zone
Hischier 50.1%
Neutral zone
Hischier 66.2%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
Coyle
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
13
(27 meetings)
14
13
Coyle
Hischier
Last 10: Coyle 6-4 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
3
8
Coyle
Hischier
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
6
3
Coyle
Hischier
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
5
2
Coyle
Hischier
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (853)
55.5% (1,172)
-3.2%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
64.5% (265)
-20.1%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (191)
43.9% (164)
+0.6%
On power play, Hischier has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Coyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Coyle shoots right. Hischier is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (570).
Home / Away
Coyle
Hischier
Home
49.0% (567)
56.8% (791)
Away
52.0% (540)
54.8% (810)
By Period
Coyle
Hischier
P1
49.5%
56.0%
P2
49.4%
58.6%
P3
52.6%
53.5%
OT
46.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.1%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 12:05 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 01:24 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 01:09 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 00:14 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 13:42 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 18:25 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 05:18 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 05:10 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 03:44 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 16:53 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 06:33 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 04:49 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 00:45 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:24 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 12:59 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 10:45 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 06:40 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:32 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |