Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 40 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Hischier 52.7% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 52-45 in 97 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 52.6%
Defensive zone
Coyle 68.3%
Neutral zone
Coyle 66.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Coyle
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
45
-
52
(97 meetings)
45
52
Coyle
Hischier
Last 10: Coyle 6-4 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
14
26
Coyle
Hischier
40 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
16
18
Coyle
Hischier
34 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
15
8
Coyle
Hischier
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,898)
51.6% (8,444)
-2.2%
Power Play
50.0% (794)
59.9% (1,749)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,100)
49.3% (918)
-5.8%
On power play, Hischier has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,015).
Coyle shoots right. Hischier is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,009).
Home / Away
Coyle
Hischier
Home
49.8% (4,865)
53.0% (5,477)
Away
47.9% (4,927)
52.4% (5,634)
By Period
Coyle
Hischier
P1
49.5%
52.9%
P2
48.3%
52.6%
P3
48.8%
52.7%
OT
49.0%
50.6%
Final 5 min
48.5%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 12:05 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 01:24 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 01:09 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 00:14 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 13:42 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 18:25 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 05:18 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 05:10 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 03:44 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 16:53 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 06:33 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 04:49 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 00:45 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:24 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 12:59 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 10:45 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 06:40 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:32 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |