Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.2%). Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Zacha 49.2% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 27-17 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 67.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 51.1%
Neutral zone
Zacha 53.2%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Coyle
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
17
(44 meetings)
27
17
Coyle
Zacha
Last 10: Coyle 4-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
9
8
Coyle
Zacha
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
10
6
Coyle
Zacha
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
8
3
Coyle
Zacha
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,898)
48.9% (5,156)
+0.5%
Power Play
50.0% (794)
55.7% (813)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,100)
42.2% (557)
+1.3%
On power play, Zacha has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,015).
Coyle shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,560).
Home / Away
Coyle
Zacha
Home
49.8% (4,865)
49.7% (3,381)
Away
47.9% (4,927)
48.6% (3,145)
By Period
Coyle
Zacha
P1
49.5%
49.9%
P2
48.3%
49.2%
P3
48.8%
48.2%
OT
49.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
48.5%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | OT | 04:59 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 29, 2026 | OT | 04:54 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 18:44 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 08:37 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 2 | 00:22 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 1 | 10:39 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 3 | 16:18 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 19:06 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 12:59 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 10:50 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 03:45 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 11:12 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 08:36 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 02:03 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |