Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Donato 46.0% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 55.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 87.1%
Neutral zone
Coyle 74.7%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
Coyle
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Coyle
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Coyle
Donato
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Donato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
44.4% (180)
+8.6%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
43.2% (37)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
40.0% (5)
+3.6%
On power play, Coyle has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Coyle shoots right. Donato is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Home / Away
Coyle
Donato
Home
54.5% (719)
45.4% (97)
Away
48.8% (758)
43.2% (125)
By Period
Coyle
Donato
P1
51.1%
36.2%
P2
50.0%
48.6%
P3
53.3%
46.9%
Final 5 min
48.8%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.6%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:06 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 07:17 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 14:58 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |