Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Donato 44.7% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 50.2%
Defensive zone
Coyle 84.4%
Neutral zone
Coyle 77.4%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Coyle
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Coyle
Donato
Last 10: Coyle 6-4 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
1
4
Coyle
Donato
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
5
0
Coyle
Donato
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Donato
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,898)
44.0% (1,218)
+5.4%
Power Play
50.0% (794)
46.0% (248)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,100)
41.7% (12)
+1.8%
On even strength, Coyle has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,015).
Coyle shoots right. Donato is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (569).
Home / Away
Coyle
Donato
Home
49.8% (4,865)
47.2% (743)
Away
47.9% (4,927)
41.4% (735)
By Period
Coyle
Donato
P1
49.5%
43.8%
P2
48.3%
44.9%
P3
48.8%
43.7%
OT
49.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 16:22 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 12:41 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:06 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 07:17 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 14:58 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 17:52 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 12:38 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 18:52 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 09:22 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |