Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs McLeod 47.4% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 66.5%
Defensive zone
McLeod 68.0%
Neutral zone
McLeod 66.7%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Coyle
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Coyle
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Coyle
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Coyle
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (853)
49.0% (827)
+3.3%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
44.0% (91)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (191)
43.0% (272)
+1.5%
On even strength, Coyle has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Coyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Coyle shoots right. McLeod is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (415).
Home / Away
Coyle
McLeod
Home
49.0% (567)
48.5% (619)
Away
52.0% (540)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Coyle
McLeod
P1
49.5%
52.7%
P2
49.4%
43.9%
P3
52.6%
45.8%
OT
46.2%
35.7%
Final 5 min
49.1%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 18:01 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 13:03 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:21 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |