Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.4%). Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs McLeod 49.5% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 51.1%
Defensive zone
McLeod 51.4%
Neutral zone
Coyle 54.6%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Coyle
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Coyle
McLeod
Last 10: Coyle 3-7 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
4
Coyle
McLeod
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
3
Coyle
McLeod
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
1
Coyle
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,898)
50.4% (3,376)
-1.0%
Power Play
50.0% (794)
50.7% (296)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,100)
44.1% (644)
-0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,015).
Coyle shoots right. McLeod is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,507).
Home / Away
Coyle
McLeod
Home
49.8% (4,865)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
47.9% (4,927)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Coyle
McLeod
P1
49.5%
50.8%
P2
48.3%
48.0%
P3
48.8%
50.0%
OT
49.0%
37.1%
Final 5 min
48.5%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 18:01 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 13:03 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:21 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:55 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 11:56 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 01:09 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 02:32 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 13:57 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 11:22 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 18:05 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 17:41 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 13:04 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 05:29 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |