Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Poehling 48.0% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 60.4%
Defensive zone
Poehling 53.2%
Neutral zone
Poehling 54.0%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Coyle
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Coyle
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Coyle
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (853)
50.4% (680)
+1.9%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
58.3% (12)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (191)
38.8% (219)
+5.7%
On power play, Poehling has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Coyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Coyle shoots right. Poehling is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Coyle
Poehling
Home
49.0% (567)
47.4% (422)
Away
52.0% (540)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Coyle
Poehling
P1
49.5%
53.3%
P2
49.4%
40.3%
P3
52.6%
50.0%
OT
46.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 16:31 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 16, 2025 | OT | 01:43 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 19:17 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |