Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.2%). Look for Poehling on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Poehling 48.3% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Poehling leads 15-10 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 64.9%
Defensive zone
Poehling 66.0%
Neutral zone
Poehling 53.3%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Coyle
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
15
(25 meetings)
10
15
Coyle
Poehling
Last 10: Coyle 4-6 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
Poehling
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
3
9
Coyle
Poehling
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
5
4
Coyle
Poehling
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,898)
49.6% (2,780)
-0.2%
Power Play
50.0% (794)
51.6% (93)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,100)
41.7% (635)
+1.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,015).
Coyle shoots right. Poehling is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,151).
Home / Away
Coyle
Poehling
Home
49.8% (4,865)
49.3% (1,706)
Away
47.9% (4,927)
47.2% (1,802)
By Period
Coyle
Poehling
P1
49.5%
50.8%
P2
48.3%
47.1%
P3
48.8%
47.2%
OT
49.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 16:31 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 16, 2025 | OT | 01:43 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 19:17 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 19:36 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 11:22 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:48 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 14:12 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 17:45 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 14:54 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 16:54 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 16:47 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 11:23 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 04:20 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 14:02 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 04:21 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 3 | 19:50 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |