Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Carrick 52.2% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 74.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 66.8%
Neutral zone
Coyle 51.8%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Coyle
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Coyle
Carrick
Last 10: Coyle 3-7 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
Carrick
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Coyle
Carrick
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,898)
52.2% (2,544)
-2.8%
Power Play
50.0% (794)
61.3% (75)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,100)
50.8% (435)
-7.3%
On power play, Carrick has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,777).
Coyle shoots right. Carrick is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (843).
Home / Away
Coyle
Carrick
Home
49.8% (4,865)
51.5% (1,477)
Away
47.9% (4,927)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Coyle
Carrick
P1
49.5%
51.8%
P2
48.3%
52.3%
P3
48.8%
52.6%
OT
49.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 11:29 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 15:20 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 3 | 11:54 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 16:38 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 15:46 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 01:21 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 03:51 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 12:50 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 3 | 09:26 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 03:49 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 17:53 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 12:30 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 06:12 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 05:59 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |