Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 50.5%). Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Aho 50.5% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 82.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 79.1%
Neutral zone
Aho 54.8%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Coyle
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Coyle
Aho
Last 10: Coyle 7-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
Aho
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
2
Coyle
Aho
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
1
Coyle
Aho
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (853)
50.5% (878)
+1.8%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
53.5% (144)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (191)
44.3% (61)
+0.2%
On power play, Aho has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Coyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Coyle shoots right. Aho is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (380).
Home / Away
Coyle
Aho
Home
49.0% (567)
53.8% (571)
Away
52.0% (540)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Coyle
Aho
P1
49.5%
49.0%
P2
49.4%
51.7%
P3
52.6%
50.3%
OT
46.2%
58.8%
Final 5 min
49.1%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 16:01 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 07:19 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 17:47 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 17:40 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 17:29 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 10:22 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 05:05 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 12:13 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 07:41 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 11:20 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 18:06 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |