Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Crosby 55.1% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 23-20 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 80.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 77.7%
Neutral zone
Crosby 50.3%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Coyle
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
23
(43 meetings)
20
23
Coyle
Crosby
Last 10: Coyle 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
13
Coyle
Crosby
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
10
2
Coyle
Crosby
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
7
8
Coyle
Crosby
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (853)
53.3% (1,025)
-1.0%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
64.7% (249)
-20.3%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (191)
60.0% (15)
-15.5%
On power play, Crosby has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Coyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Coyle shoots right. Crosby is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (375).
Home / Away
Coyle
Crosby
Home
49.0% (567)
56.9% (675)
Away
52.0% (540)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Coyle
Crosby
P1
49.5%
55.1%
P2
49.4%
53.1%
P3
52.6%
58.5%
OT
46.2%
54.2%
Final 5 min
49.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | OT | 00:47 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 18:08 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 15:25 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | OT | 01:19 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 07:08 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 13:37 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 07:55 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 00:28 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 18:58 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 18:38 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 15:48 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 09:14 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |