Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 71 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Crosby 53.5% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 111-82 in 193 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 64.6%
Defensive zone
Coyle 87.2%
Neutral zone
Coyle 76.2%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Coyle
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
82
-
111
(193 meetings)
82
111
Coyle
Crosby
Last 10: Coyle 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
14
57
Coyle
Crosby
71 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
40
24
Coyle
Crosby
64 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
28
30
Coyle
Crosby
58 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,898)
52.8% (18,031)
-3.4%
Power Play
50.0% (794)
57.4% (4,741)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,100)
47.0% (766)
-3.5%
On power play, Crosby has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,015).
Coyle shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,671).
Home / Away
Coyle
Crosby
Home
49.8% (4,865)
55.0% (11,998)
Away
47.9% (4,927)
52.0% (11,559)
By Period
Coyle
Crosby
P1
49.5%
53.6%
P2
48.3%
53.8%
P3
48.8%
53.3%
OT
49.0%
49.6%
Final 5 min
48.5%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | OT | 00:47 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 18:08 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 15:25 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | OT | 01:19 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 07:08 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 13:37 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 07:55 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 00:28 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 18:58 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 18:38 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 15:48 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 09:14 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |