Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 48.2%). Coyle wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Noesen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Noesen 49.2% (+0.4%)
Offensive zone
Noesen 73.0%
Defensive zone
Coyle 76.8%
Neutral zone
Coyle 55.1%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Coyle
Noesen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Noesen
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
48.3% (60)
+1.2%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
38.9% (18)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
71.4% (7)
-28.0%
On penalty kill, Noesen has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Noesen shoots right. Coyle is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Coyle shoots right. Noesen is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Coyle
Noesen
Home
47.4% (409)
57.6% (33)
Away
50.0% (360)
42.3% (52)
By Period
Coyle
Noesen
P1
50.8%
37.9%
P2
46.0%
50.0%
P3
48.4%
56.3%
Final 5 min
46.7%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.6%
Noesen
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%