Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Noesen 44.6% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Noesen 52.5%
Defensive zone
Coyle 90.4%
Neutral zone
Coyle 74.8%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Coyle
Noesen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Coyle
Noesen
Last 5: Coyle 4-1 Noesen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Noesen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
0
Coyle
Noesen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Noesen
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,898)
42.3% (407)
+7.1%
Power Play
50.0% (794)
46.5% (114)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,100)
57.1% (14)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Noesen has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Noesen shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,777).
Coyle shoots right. Noesen is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Coyle
Noesen
Home
49.8% (4,865)
43.8% (267)
Away
47.9% (4,927)
43.3% (268)
By Period
Coyle
Noesen
P1
49.5%
38.2%
P2
48.3%
45.3%
P3
48.8%
46.6%
Final 5 min
48.5%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Noesen
46.0%▼
47.5%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 13:24 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 05:10 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 3 | 08:17 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 2 | 11:00 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 29, 2023 | 1 | 05:30 | Offensive | Stefan Noesen |