Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Meier 48.0% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Meier 56.1%
Defensive zone
Coyle 87.5%
Neutral zone
Coyle 68.6%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Coyle
Meier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Coyle
Meier
Last 5: Coyle 4-1 Meier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Meier
0
1
Coyle
Meier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
0
Coyle
Meier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Meier
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (853)
41.1% (95)
+11.2%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
65.4% (26)
-21.0%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (191)
50.0% (2)
-5.5%
On power play, Meier has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Meier shoots left. Coyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Coyle shoots right. Meier is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Coyle
Meier
Home
49.0% (567)
40.4% (57)
Away
52.0% (540)
51.5% (66)
By Period
Coyle
Meier
P1
49.5%
34.0%
P2
49.4%
50.9%
P3
52.6%
60.9%
Final 5 min
49.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Meier
48.0%▲
45.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 03:34 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 14:43 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:40 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:47 | Offensive | Timo Meier |