Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Meier 44.0% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 51.2%
Defensive zone
Coyle 92.3%
Neutral zone
Coyle 85.6%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Coyle
Meier
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Coyle
Meier
Last 7: Coyle 6-1 Meier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Meier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
0
Coyle
Meier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Meier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Meier
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,898)
41.3% (470)
+8.1%
Power Play
50.0% (794)
51.5% (103)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,100)
35.7% (14)
+7.8%
On even strength, Coyle has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Meier shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,015).
Coyle shoots right. Meier is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Coyle
Meier
Home
49.8% (4,865)
43.2% (280)
Away
47.9% (4,927)
42.7% (307)
By Period
Coyle
Meier
P1
49.5%
43.3%
P2
48.3%
44.7%
P3
48.8%
40.4%
OT
49.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Meier
48.0%▲
45.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 03:34 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 14:43 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:40 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:47 | Offensive | Timo Meier |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |