Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Nosek 48.5% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Nosek 51.0%
Defensive zone
Coyle 73.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 54.5%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Coyle
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Coyle
Nosek
Last 10: Coyle 6-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
3
Coyle
Nosek
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
0
Coyle
Nosek
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Nosek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (853)
52.0% (102)
+0.3%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
100.0% (2)
-55.6%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (191)
29.0% (31)
+15.5%
On power play, Nosek has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Coyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Coyle shoots right. Nosek is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Home / Away
Coyle
Nosek
Home
49.0% (567)
52.0% (50)
Away
52.0% (540)
44.7% (85)
By Period
Coyle
Nosek
P1
49.5%
45.0%
P2
49.4%
42.0%
P3
52.6%
55.6%
Final 5 min
49.1%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 15:25 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 06:46 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 19:02 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 18:59 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 10:10 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 00:15 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 15:05 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 04:07 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 18:29 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 18:20 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |