Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Nosek 51.4% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 57.0%
Defensive zone
Coyle 61.2%
Neutral zone
Coyle 60.5%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Coyle
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Coyle
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Coyle
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
53.0% (400)
-3.5%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
33.3% (12)
+20.9%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
45.5% (44)
-2.1%
On power play, Coyle has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Coyle shoots right. Nosek is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Coyle
Nosek
Home
47.4% (409)
49.6% (244)
Away
50.0% (360)
54.2% (212)
By Period
Coyle
Nosek
P1
50.8%
53.1%
P2
46.0%
51.4%
P3
48.4%
51.1%
Final 5 min
46.7%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.6%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 02:32 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |