Scouting Report
Patrick Sharp holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Kelly wins 61.7% vs right-shot opponents — Sharp shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 56.2% vs Sharp 55.6% (-6.6%)
Offensive zone
Sharp 77.5%
Defensive zone
Kelly 81.1%
Neutral zone
Kelly 56.3%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Kelly
Sharp
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Sharp
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (298)
67.3% (49)
-8.6%
Power Play
100.0% (8)
53.8% (13)
+46.2%
On power play, Kelly has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sharp shoots right. Kelly is 61.7% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Kelly shoots left. Sharp is 65.1% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Home / Away
Kelly
Sharp
Home
60.0% (200)
68.8% (32)
Away
55.5% (173)
60.0% (30)
By Period
Kelly
Sharp
P1
55.9%
65.2%
P2
58.4%
58.8%
P3
60.9%
66.7%
OT
37.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
60.0%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
57.9%
Sharp
60.0%▲
52.5%
64.5%