Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.8% vs Aho 52.2% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 52.5%
Defensive zone
Tierney 78.6%
Neutral zone
Tierney 63.4%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Tierney
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Tierney
Aho
Last 5: Tierney 0-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
4
Tierney
Aho
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Tierney
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (454)
51.6% (819)
-1.2%
Power Play
48.3% (58)
58.4% (173)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
46.3% (67)
-9.5%
On power play, Aho has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Tierney is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (315).
Tierney shoots left. Aho is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Tierney
Aho
Home
53.3% (289)
53.9% (568)
Away
45.5% (242)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Tierney
Aho
P1
50.9%
55.4%
P2
46.7%
51.2%
P3
52.1%
50.9%
Final 5 min
44.6%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 13:00 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 01:22 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 16:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 07:40 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |