Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 47.9% vs Aho 51.2% (-4.4%)
Offensive zone
Aho 75.9%
Defensive zone
Tierney 68.3%
Neutral zone
Tierney 55.2%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Tierney
Aho
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
48.5% (778)
-1.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
63.4% (191)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (40)
50.8% (65)
-3.3%
On power play, Tierney has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Tierney is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Tierney shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Tierney
Aho
Home
47.9% (121)
51.3% (530)
Away
46.1% (115)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Tierney
Aho
P1
44.1%
50.0%
P2
50.0%
51.3%
P3
46.3%
52.1%
Final 5 min
52.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.4%