Christian Dvorak vs Dylan Larkin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.1% vs 52.7%). Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 16 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs Larkin 52.7% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 34-32 in 66 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 60.3%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 56.3%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 51.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Dvorak
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
34
(66 meetings)
32
34
Dvorak
Larkin
Last 10: Dvorak 6-4 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
12
15
Dvorak
Larkin
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
10
6
Dvorak
Larkin
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
10
13
Dvorak
Larkin
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (6,785)
51.6% (9,056)
+1.5%
Power Play
55.7% (1,012)
58.6% (2,140)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (889)
50.2% (1,124)
+0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Dvorak is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,588).
Dvorak shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,876).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Larkin
Home
54.7% (4,151)
53.9% (6,277)
Away
51.7% (4,535)
51.4% (6,043)
By Period
Dvorak
Larkin
P1
54.5%
52.7%
P2
51.9%
53.1%
P3
53.1%
52.0%
OT
56.5%
58.4%
Final 5 min
51.5%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 03:03 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 18:42 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 11:53 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 04:12 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:28 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 17:29 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 12:06 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 03:51 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 17:24 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 08:42 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 14:57 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 16, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 18:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 14:03 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 2, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 11:57 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |